We can’t predict the future

Not even close!

So reports about what the world will be like in 2015, 2030, 2050 on any given subject are just wild guesses (at best). This is because all current predictions (inevitably) are heavily biased by how things are at the moment. That’s all we have to work with, so that’s what we use and extrapolate. And hey, you guess enough, you’re bound to get some of them right.

What do you think the predictions were in 1890 on the number of horses that everyone would own and need to get about? Or in 1940 when estimating how many computers there would be in the world?